BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Southern Mississippi 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Southern Mississippi 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
20.64 |
16.57 (-4.06) |
21.64 |
20.15 (-1.49) |
20.15 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
309.27 |
288.28 (-21.00) |
341.18 |
347.20 (+6.02) |
347.20 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.87 |
4.54 (-0.33) |
4.77 |
4.86 (+0.09) |
4.86 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
24.73 |
28.50 (+3.77) |
37.73 |
40.75 (+3.02) |
40.75 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
380.00 |
414.99 (+34.99) |
433.18 |
456.24 (+23.05) |
456.24 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.46 |
5.89 (+0.44) |
6.85 |
7.05 (+0.20) |
7.05 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.9 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
Alcorn State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 40-14 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-10 |
@Florida State |
8.08 |
57.20 |
+49.12 |
65.28 |
0.10% |
L 13-66 |
1-1 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Tulane |
16.83 |
32.73 |
+15.90 |
49.56 |
24.50% |
L 3-21 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
@Arkansas State |
27.16 |
37.61 |
+10.45 |
64.77 |
33.24% |
L 37-44 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 |
Texas State |
32.93 |
41.62 |
+8.70 |
74.55 |
36.05% |
L 36-50 |
1-4 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Old Dominion |
23.12 |
31.65 |
+8.53 |
54.77 |
36.31% |
L 13-17 |
1-5 |
| 2023-10-17 |
@South Alabama |
18.67 |
43.09 |
+24.42 |
61.76 |
10.84% |
L 3-55 |
1-6 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Appalachian State |
25.60 |
48.59 |
+22.99 |
74.19 |
13.13% |
L 38-48 |
1-7 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Louisiana Monroe |
31.68 |
22.96 |
-8.72 |
54.64 |
63.99% |
W 24-7 |
2-7 |
| 2023-11-10 |
@Louisiana |
27.44 |
42.81 |
+15.37 |
70.25 |
25.35% |
W 34-31 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Mississippi State |
16.36 |
36.72 |
+20.36 |
53.08 |
17.34% |
L 20-41 |
3-8 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Troy |
13.29 |
38.92 |
+25.62 |
52.21 |
8.90% |
L 17-35 |
3-9 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
3.11% |
| 2-10 |
14.92% |
| 3-9 |
27.73% |
| 4-8 |
28.16% |
| 5-7 |
17.08% |
| 6-6 |
6.90% |
| 7-5 |
1.78% |
| 8-4 |
0.28% |
| 9-3 |
0.03% |